"All the World's a Stage We Pass Through" R. Ayana

Showing posts with label global cooling. Show all posts
Showing posts with label global cooling. Show all posts

Saturday, 13 August 2016

Ice Age Ahead: Ice Age Precursors Upon Us


Ice Age Ahead
Ice Age  Precursors Upon Us - full length feature presentation

How close is the return of the Ice Age?
Ice Age Climate Change vs. Global Warming Carbon Politics


No, the Ice Age isn't coming. It is already here. The Earth has been in an Ice Age Epoch for 2 million years already, with deep glaciation that piles up ice sheets up to 13,000 feet deep that typically cover all of Canada and extend into the northern U.S. States. The cause for the ice age cycles has been poorly understood in the past. Many new discoveries have been made that open up a new perspective of the ice age dynamics and our relationship with it. 
During the last million years the long Ice Age deep freeze has been periodically interrupted with nice warm interglacial holiday periods, like the present one that has run its curse. We now face a return to the normal Ice Age climate for the Earth. This poses some big questions:
·         Are we prepared for the impending return to the normal Ice Age world that is typically 30 times colder than the Little Ice Age had been? 
·         Are we prepared to relocate our endangered agriculture that our food-supply depends on, into areas that the Ice Age cooling cannot reach?
·         Are we prepared to launch the needed industrial revolution for creating infrastructures to meet the Ice Age Challenge that now confronts us?
·         Are we prepared to face reality, with real scientific advances that have been made quietly in the background, rather than to continue dreaming the politically orchestrated dream of global warming that has lulled humanity to sleep for the profits of a few?

Next Ice Age

 

 

 



The modern Ice Age cycles that started two million years ago are far from over: we may be at the half-way point

The current interglacial period is ending
The condition for glaciation is resuming
Beware of the corresponding loss of agriculture

Interglacial warm periods, like the present, are rare anomalies,
they are short 13,000 year holidays every 100,000 years. 

Numerous cycles are interacting

The longest cycles are the 150 million year cycles

They have caused four major glaciation periods that are known to have occurred in geologic time, spaced 150 million years apart. These extremely long cycles appears to reflect cyclical variables outside of our galaxy, as all other explanations are seriously flawed to the point that they don't make any sense at all.

Superimposed are 'shorter' 62-million-year cycles


Some theories have it that the shorter cycles are caused by the solar system bobbing up and down across the galactic plane (ecliptic) as it orbits around the galactic center. No cause for such an effect is known. However, in an electric galaxy such an effect would mirror on the large scale what has been observed within the solar heliosphere in the form of the spiraling nature of the heliospheric current sheet. A similar phenomenon appears to exist on the galactic scale.  The 62-million year cycles can be explained as a phenomenon that is caused by electric action as we see it reflected in the wave action of the current sheet that extends across the solar heliosphere on the ecliptic plane. A spinning wave-like pattern has been observed resulting from electromagnetic interaction of the electric current with the 'spinning' solar magnetic field. On the galactic scale such a phenomenon would lift our solar system cyclically above and below the galactic ecliptic, as is currently assumed to be happening.


 

On this larger stage the galactic spiral arms are the current sheet. Consequently one would expect to find similar wave actions occurring on the larger stage of the galaxy, affecting the stars and their relative position to the galactic ecliptic plane, resulting in electric current density variations and corresponding cosmic-ray density variations, such as we see secondarily reflected in the 62 million year cycles superimposed in the above graph. 

If we look at the last of the 62 million year cycles (above) and compare it with known events, we find the freeze-up of Antarctica (around 30 million years ago), and its subsequent melting, and renewed freeze-up, to fall perfectly within the timeframe of the current 62-million year cycle.


palaeotemperature covering the entire Phenerozoic Eon


We are presently at a low point of the 62 million year cycle, which corresponds with the current Pleistocene Epoch, the most intense Ice Age Epoch of this cycles, which began 2 million years ago and appears to be presently at its mid point, being centered at the low point of both the 150 and 62 million year cycles. 
During the last million years of the Pleistocene Epoch (the current Ice Age Epoch), deep glaciation has occurred, interspersed every 100,000 years with warm interglacial periods of an average duration in the 13,000-year range. 

Four major 'short-term' cycles are related the 100,000-year glacial/interglacial cyclical patterns. Of these three cycles are related to the orbital characteristics of the Earth. They are generally referred to as the Milankovitch Cycles. And there is a fourth cycle in the 100,000-year timeframe that is superimposed in step with the Milankovitch Cycles are related to. Since this fourth cycle is driving the Ice Age show, that the Milankovitch Cycles stand in the background of, and this cycle is evidently routed in the dynamics of the galaxy itself, precise perditions of the start of the next transition to glaciation is not possible, the moral imperative must therefore be to make the necessary preparations for a new agricultural infrastructure for mankind that won't be affected by the cold of the coming glaciation, regardless of when this may happen.








For more information about ice ages see http://nexusilluminati.blogspot.com/search/label/ice%20age
For more information about climate change see http://nexusilluminati.blogspot.com/search/label/climate%20change
- Scroll down through ‘Older Posts’ at the end of each section


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Tuesday, 15 December 2015

Cold Sun Rising: New studies flip climate-change notions upside down


Cold Sun Rising
New studies flip climate-change notions upside down

https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/c/c2/The_Solar_Cycle_XRay_hi.jpg

by Sam Khoury


The sun will go into "hibernation" mode around 2030, and it has already started to get sleepy. At the Royal Astronomical Society's annual meeting in July, Professor Valentina Zharkova of Northumbria University in the UK confirmed it - the sun will begin its Maunder Minimum (Grand Solar Minimum) in 15 years. Other scientists had suggested years ago that this change was imminent, but Zharkova's model is said to have near-perfect accuracy.

So what is a "solar minimum"?

Our sun doesn't maintain a constant intensity. Instead, it cycles in spans of approximately 11 years. When it's at its maximum, it has the highest number of sunspots on its surface in that particular cycle. When it's at its minimum, it has almost none. When there are more sunspots, the sun is brighter. When there are fewer, the sun radiates less heat toward Earth.

But that's not the only cooling effect of a solar minimum. A dim sun doesn't deflect cosmic rays away from Earth as efficiently as a bright sun. So, when these rays enter our atmosphere, they seed clouds, which in turn cool our planet even more and increase precipitation in the form of rain, snow and hail.


Solar cycles

https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/c/c1/2000_Year_Temperature_Comparison.png


Since the early 1800s we have enjoyed healthy solar cycles and the rich agriculture and mild northern temperatures that they guarantee
. During the Middle Ages, however, Earth felt the impact of four solar minimums over the course of 400 years.

The last Maunder Minimum and its accompanying mini-Ice Age saw the most consistent cold, continuing into the early 1800s.

The last time we became concerned about cooler temperatures - possibly dangerously cooler - was in the 1970s. Global temperatures have declined since the 1940s, as measured by Pacific Decadal Oscillation. The PDO Index is a recurring pattern of ocean-atmosphere climate variability centred over the Pacific Ocean. Determined by deep currents, it is said to shift between warm and cool modes. Some scientists worried that it might stay cool and drag down the Atlantic Decadal Oscillation with it, spurring a new Ice Age. The fear was exacerbated by the fact that Earth has been in the current inter-glacial period for 10,000 years (depending on how the starting point is gauged).

If Earth were to enter the next Ice Age too quickly, glaciers could advance much further south, rainforests could turn into savannah, and sea levels could drop dramatically, causing havoc.

The BBC, all three major American TV networks, Time magazine and the New York Times all ran feature stories highlighting the scare. Fortunately, by 1978 the PDO Index shifted back to warm and the fear abated.


Climate science vs the sceptics


By the 1990s the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) had formed the "97 per cent consensus"
. The consensus was that Earth was warming more than it should, not just due to natural causes but also human activity. This was termed Anthropogenic Global Warming. The culprit was identified as carbon dioxide generated from the burning of fossil fuels.

CO2 is a greenhouse gas and its increase in the atmosphere could be dangerous, the panel claimed. Some of these scientists, particularly those working at the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), Nasa's Goddard Institute for Space Studies and Britain's Meteorological Office, have gone so far as to declare CO2 as the primary driver of climate on Earth. This modern "climate science" has stirred unprecedented controversy in the field. Sceptics, clinging to more traditional approaches, say the science has been corrupted by the billions of dollars in government funding for climate-change research and agencies and industries that claim to be "fighting climate change". The counter-argument is that the sceptics are backed by the oil, gas and coal industries or are affiliated with conservative political groups.

The biggest bone of contention between the two groups is how the data are assessed. In the United States, the recorded temperature data go back to 1880, and elsewhere not even that far. Those data have to be "stapled on" to the ice-core data used to determine temperatures in earlier times. This has led to controversial representations, such as the infamous "hockey stick" graph released by the IPCC that gave the impression the world is hotter now than ever. Many scientists slammed the graph as wholly unrealistic, insisting that previous eras, such as the medieval warm period and the Holocene maximum were warmer than today.

Another issue is the urban "heat island" effect. Black asphalt roads and concrete structures absorb heat from the sun. Roy Spencer, a climatologist at the University of Alabama and former IPCC alumnus, charged in 2013 that the NOAA was "warming up" readings at rural temperature stations to match the urban ones rather than the reverse. A spokesman for the NOAA responded but stopped short of denying it.

In the 2009 "climategate scandal", e-mails and documents from IPCC-affiliated scientists were leaked that indicated they had manipulated data and reports to jibe with the AGW theory. References were made to "hiding the decline" through the use of "tricks". Then in 2012 Anthony Watts, a meteorologist and self-described whistle-blower, caught the NOAA changing temperature data from the 1930s to make the decade appear colder than it had been. Another whistle-blower, blogger Tony Heller, although clearly aligned with conservative groups like the Heartland Institute, has amassed impressive data. He claims that, since 1997, the world has actually been getting colder and Goddard and the NOAA are committing "climate fraud". The NOAA has declined to respond.

[NI Comments: Each year heat (and cold) records are broken somewhere on Earth, indicating that climate instabilities from greenhouse gases pouring into the atmosphere are indeed causing massive changes and currently injecting chaos into the biosphere]


http://c3headlines.typepad.com/.a/6a010536b58035970c0120a62f87f3970c-800wi



Mini Ice Age | Sunspots and Cooling Earth Temperatures

(11:49)



Global cooling?


Around 2000, the PDO Index started to blow cold again
, possibly causing global warming to "pause", as the mainstream scientists describe it. IPCC-affiliated scientists as well as Nasa and the NOAA attribute the pause to other factors. This is when the plot thickens.

Solar cycle 24 - two cycles prior the cycle that's expected to bottom out into a Maunder Minimum - was weak. In 2013-14 it reached its maximum far below average. Meanwhile extreme cold-weather anomalies have occurred around the world. Last year "polar vortices" slammed into the central US and Siberia as a third hovered over the Atlantic. All 50 US states, including Hawaii, had temperatures below freezing for the first time in recorded history. Snowfall records were broken in cities in the US, Canada, Italy, New Zealand, Australia, Japan and elsewhere. Southern American states and central Mexico, where snow is rare, got heavy snow, as did the Middle East.

This past summer the cold didn't let up, with more temperature records across the US and rare summer snows seen in Canada, the US and China. Birds have migrated early in the last two years. Antarctic sea ice set a new record in 2013 and it was broken again in 2014.

Not even Thailand was immune. In 2014 Bangkok hit its coldest low in 30 years, while 63 lives were lost in the North.

Scientists at the Climate and Environmental Physics and Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research at the University of Berne in Switzerland have recently backed up theories that support the sun's importance in determining the climate on Earth. A paper published last year by the American Meteorological Society contradicts claims by IPCC scientists that the sun couldn't be responsible for major shifts in climate. Judith Curry, chair of the School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences at the Georgia Institute of Technology, rejected IPCC assertions that solar variations don't matter. Among the many studies and authorities she cited was the National Research Council's recent report "The Effects of Solar Variability on Earth's Climate".

Other researchers and organisations are also predicting global cooling - the Russian Academy of Science, the Astronomical Institute of the Slovak Academy of Scientists, the Institute of Terrestrial Magnetism Russia, Victor Manuel Velesco Herrera at the National University of Mexico, the Bulgarian Institute of Astronomy, Dr Tim Patterson at Carleton University in Canada, Drs Lin Zhen at Nanjing University in China, just to name a few.

For now nevertheless, the IPCC and other authoritative agencies are sticking to their CO2-dominant climate-forcing theory. They attribute the cold spells to a disruption in the jet stream caused by Anthropogenic Global Warming. Some of their theories have heads being scratched, for instance the "pause" in global warming they attribute to heat being absorbed deep into the oceans. When Antarctic ice reached record levels in 2013, scientists were "baffled" because the water beneath the ice was warm, they claimed. In climate science old and new, nothing is certain.

We conclude with a bit of good news, though. Recent research has determined that the famous Stradivarius violin owes its unique, esteemed sound to the last Maunder Minimum. The solar condition changed the texture of the trees that provided the wood from which the instrument was crafted. So lovers of classical music can place their orders for the next generation of incomparable violins, coming - giving the trees time to mature - in about 100 years.

 http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz/JicBjrAqO4fQXhj5x5Zw5iaQ6qSwB2xmbZ7T3y0VmUJwDeU0j7libBAHXC3BMzaKlqicokNSFGKWicO4GbIy42M3ianQ/0?wx_fmt=jpeg





New Ice Age Near - 58 part evidence

(2:32:33)



For more information about global cooling see http://nexusilluminati.blogspot.com/search/label/global%20cooling
For more information about the Sun see http://nexusilluminati.blogspot.com/search/label/sun
- Scroll down through ‘Older Posts’ at the end of each section


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https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/c/c1/2000_Year_Temperature_Comparison.png
http://c3headlines.typepad.com/.a/6a010536b58035970c0120a62f87f3970c-800wi
http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz/JicBjrAqO4fQXhj5x5Zw5iaQ6qSwB2xmbZ7T3y0VmUJwDeU0j7libBAHXC3BMzaKlqicokNSFGKWicO4GbIy42M3ianQ/0?wx_fmt=jpeg



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