"All the World's a Stage We Pass Through" R. Ayana

Monday 14 September 2015

The History of Chemtrails: How to Geoengineer a Planet with Jet Fuel



The History of Chemtrails:
How to Geoengineer a Planet with Jet Fuel

The-History-of-Chemtrails




A Tale of Soot, Sulfur, Dirty Lies, and Shady Clouds


The Chemtrail Conspiracy as explained by Wikipedia (which is the most trustworthy spot on teh internetz, ya know):

According to the chemtrail conspiracy theory, long-lasting trails left in the sky by high-flying aircraft are chemical or biological agents deliberately sprayed for sinister purposes undisclosed to the general public.

There-in lies the Straw-man, attribution of intentional harmful actions to jet-made clouds.

The term chemtrail is a portmanteau of the words “chemical” and “trail,” just as contrail is a contraction of “condensation trail.” Believers in the conspiracy theory speculate that the purpose of the claimed chemical release may be for solar radiation management, psychological manipulation, human population control, weather modification, or biological or chemical warfare, and that the trails are causing respiratory illnesses and other health problems. Contrails are formed at high altitudes (5–10 miles or 8–16 kilometers) and if any chemicals were released at such altitude they would disperse harmlessly and fall many hundreds of miles/kilometers away, or degrade before touching the ground.

All the evidence states clearly that chemtrails, or contrails, are not a depopulation scheme.  Although 10,000 deaths are directly attributed to jet exhaust each year, global population has steadily risen since the first jet flights and ever since. Each year diarrhea kills around 760,000 children under five, just saying.

What if we removed the “intent” Straw-man and take a discerning look at the facts about these unique jet-made clouds?

What if a chemtrail was a contrail, BUT, the real conspiracy was to focus people on a Straw-man to hide the real-world effects of CONTRAILS?

On the Wikipedia article there is a section titled “Contrails as chemtrails” but no mention or link to the much lengthier “Environmental Impact of Aviation” page.  Furthermore, if you image search the term “chemtrails” do you know what you get? Pictures of contrails, big ugly contrails.  The only difference is the word you choose to call these clouds, so let’s explore our options:

  • Chemtrails
  • Contrails
  • Persistent Contrails
  • Contrail Cirrus
  • Aviation Induced Cloudiness (AIC)
  • Aviation Induced Cirrus
  • Induced Cirrus Cloudiness
  • Jet produced cloud cover
  • Artificial Cloud
  • Global Dimming?

So many terms, so little time.

If chemtrails are contrails, and contrails are chemtrails, is this all some sort of semantic ninjitsu?  The answer is Yes.

Here is the real conspiracy:  Contrails are really screwing up the atmosphere, trapping heat, possibly exacerbating drought conditions under high traffic corridors, and the “aviation industry” does not want you, or anyone else, to know the facts. Even worse, by 2050 ground-based astronomy may be a thing of the past due to jet produced cloud cover, and that may be the tip of a very big iceberg.  What will Solar Energy do to combat these clouded skies?

Here is a timeline that will open your eyes to the real Contrail Conundrum, the circumvention of international law and regulation to geoengineer our skies using contrails and sulfur-doped fuels, and the hell we will pay if the plans to use biofuels and Pepto-bismol for Contrail-Control come to pass.

The truth is scarier than fiction.

I will be presenting this information to the EPA at a hearing August 11, 2015





The Shady History of Jet Trails

 

THOSE WHO FORGET THE PAST ARE DOOMED TO REPEAT IT!

This extensive list will open your eyes to all things that shall not be mentioned by chemtrail believer nor debunker, nonetheless, these are facts:

April 6, 1948

 

First airliner with full jet power flown

July 27, 1949

 

First purpose-built jet airliner takes flight

December 6, 1958

 

New Fuss Raised Over Jet Trails

“As you know our entire economy is dependent upon tourist trade, which is predicated on our bright sunshine and warm climate.

Recently our sky has resembled a mob of exuberant sky riders performing an aerial circus.

The ‘contrails’ are breaking down into a haze and creating a cloud-like appearance in the sky.

The Air Force, so far, is flabbergasted.”


New Fuss Raised Over Jet Trails

Jet Trails Dim Sun, Palm Beach Gripes

source: https://news.google.com/newspapers?nid=1338&dat=19581206&id=VwBYAAAAIBAJ&sjid=FfcDAAAAIBAJ&pg=6955%2C1632252&hl=en

December 1968

 

Man Making Earth A Bad Place To Live, Professor Says

Jets Increase Clouds

Reid A. Bryson said that jet aircraft contrails were one of the more recent types of cirrus clouds, which are comprised of ice crystals at high altitude.

Where jets are operating today, cirrus clouds have increased by 5% to 10%, Bryson said.

He estimated that if the day came when 300 supersonic transports were in the air at one time, the region of operation of most SST’s “might easily be 100% covered with cirrus clouds.”

The net effect of this would be further to reduce the heating of the earth, and blue skies might become a rarity.


Man Making Earth A Bad Place To Live Professor Says 1968

January 1970

 

Jet Pollution Hit

Illinois and New Jersey officials will not settle pollution suits against the nation’s major airlines out of court, despite Tuesday’s agreement between the airlines and the federal government to lean up the jet aircraft exhaust.

Representatives of 31 major domestic airlines agreed to install “burner cans” to eliminate most of the smoke from their nearly 1,000 aircraft by 1972.

Us To Clamp Down On Jet Pollution

The government will tell the nation’s 43 commercial airlines Tuesday that they must end pollution of the skies with jet engine smoke by 1972 or face punitive legislation from Congress.

Mainly at issue is the installation of a redesigned combuster – or burner can – on 3,000 existing commercial jet engines of one maker that reportedly account for 70 percent of all smoke pollution from airliners.


jet pollution hit 1970 

Us To Clamp Down On Jet Pollution 1970

October 1970

 

Patent: #3517512: Apparatus for Suppressing Contrails owned by USAF


“likely contrails are affecting precipitation to a much greater extent than are present deliberate seeding operations.”


on-the-possibility-of-weather-modification-by-aircraft-contrails


September 1971

 

Study Revealed On Jet Pollution

A jet air plane in one landing and takeoff drenches the environment with as much soot as 2,500 automobiles produce in a entire day… soot, gases of carbon monoxide, aldehydes (irritants in smog), hydrocarbons, and nitrogen oxides. 10,000 tons of particulate matter (three airports)

Study Revealed On Jet Pollution 1971

September 1972

 

Jet Air Pollution Cut

There will be a marked aesthetic improvement, since the so-called burner cans cut out something like 70 percent of the visible pollution and thus the familiar “black belch” will be seen no more.


burner-cans-remove-black-belch-1972

July 1974

 

Research Paper: Weather Modification by Carbon Dust Absorption of Solar Energy

“Growing global population pressures and predicted future food shortages dictate that man fully explore his potential use of solar energy. … Interest is concentrated on the feasibility of mesoscale (~ 100-300 km) weather modification through solar energy absorption by carbon aerosol particles of the size ~ 0.1 µm [micrometer, 100 nanometer] or less”


carbon-black-cloud-seeding

December 1980

 

Roger O’Neil, NBC News, Champaign, Illinois.  Aired on 12/30/1980.

Clouded Judgment: Do Jet Contrails Increase Cloud Cover?

JOHN CHANCELLOR, anchor:

On clear days, you can often see long white lines being traced high in the sky. They are contrails of jet aircraft. They’re actually long, slender clouds. Other men are finding them especially fascinating because the theory is being developed that those long, white lines may be changing our weather for the better. Details from Roger O’Neil.

ROGER O’NEIL, reporting:

The exhaust from jet engines, usually seen as long, thin trails of white clouds behind high-flying jet airplanes, may be a big reason why there are 30 fewer days of sunshine a year in the Midwest now than there were in 1900. The daily range between high and low temperatures has also narrowed. Weather researchers, studying cloud cover in 10 Midwestern states, found a sharp increase in cloudiness with the increase in commercial jet travel, particularly in the main East-West jet corridor, there were even more clouds. A jet produces a contrail or cloud because its exhaust consists primarily of water vapor.

RICHARD SEMONIN (Illinois Institute of Natural Resources): In the absence of natural clouds, given the correct atmospheric condition, jet aircraft in high frequency can almost completely cover the atmosphere, visible atmosphere, with clouds.

O’NEIL: Semonin says, unlike most changes in the atmosphere caused by man, this one is beneficial. Clouds help farmers in the Midwest by blocking the sun. Temperature extremes can damage plants and speed up the evaporation of soil moisture. In the Winter, city people benefit because clouds act as a blanket, preventing warm air from escaping into the atmosphere. No one is trying to make clouds now using jet engines, but this study suggests that jet travel is inadvertently making our days more cloudy and some day, weather researchers may be able to use jets on purpose to change our weather.

Research Paper: Effect of Contrail Cirrus on Surface Weather Conditions in the Midwest – Phase I





September 1982

 

A High Flying Theory on Acid Rain Problem


A High Flying Theory on Acid Rain Problem

1987-1993

 

International Cirrus Experiment,
Participants: France, Germany, United Kingdom




April 1990

 

Hughes Aircraft Company suggests Geoengineering jet fuel.

United States Patent 5003186 – Stratospheric Welsbach seeding for reduction of global warming

The particles may be seeded by dispersal from seeding aircraft; one exemplary technique may be via the jet fuel as suggested by prior work regarding the metallic particles. Once the tiny particles have been dispersed into the atmosphere, the particles may remain in suspension for up to one year.

1994-1999

 

Fuel sulfur content tested as a source of contrail production.

Research Paper: Influence of fuel sulfur on the composition of aircraft exhaust plumes: The experiments SULFUR 1–7


http://elib.dlr.de/9666/1/jgr-107.pdf

April – May, 1996

 

SUbsonic aircraft Contrail & Clouds Effects Special Study (SUCCESS)

The SUCCESS project was conducted from the Kansas State University airport facilities in Salina, Kansas from April 8, 1996 until May 10, 1996, with an extension from May 10 until May 15, 1996 at NASA’s Ames Research Center in Moffett Field, Ca. SUCCESS had several objectives:

  • to better determine the radiative properties of cirrus clouds and of contrails so that satellite observations can more reliably measure their impact on the Earth’s radiation budget.

  • to determine how cirrus clouds form, whether the exhaust from subsonic aircraft presently affects the formation of cirrus clouds, and if the exhaust does affect the clouds whether the changes induced are of climatological significance.

  • to develop and test several new instruments.

  • to better determine the characteristics of gaseous and particulate exhaust products from subsonic aircraft and their evolution in the region near the aircraft

Research Papers: Langley DAAC Project/Campaign Document – University of Utah Polarization Diversity LIDAR (PDL) Langley DAAC Data Set Document


source: https://cloud1.arc.nasa.gov/success/

1996

 

Research Paper: In Situ Observations of Particles in Jet Aircraft Exhausts and Contrails for Different Sulfur-containing Fuels – PDF

August 1997

 

Researh Paper: Global Warming and Ice Ages – Prospects for Physics-Based Modulation of Global Change

Geoengineering SRM proposed by Edward Teller, Lowell Wood, Roderick Hyde at Lawrence Livermoore National Labs

“It may well be feasible to transport and disperse enough SO2 (Sulfur Dioxide or SO3 or H2SO4) into the stratosphere to produce the desired insolation modulation effect”

March 1998

 

Researh Paper: First Direct Sulfuric Acid Detection in the Exhaust Plume of a Jet Aircraft in Flight – PDF

August 1999

 

Research Paper: Long-Range Weather Prediction And Prevention of Climate Catastrophes – A Status Report.

Geoengineering Models by Edward Teller, Lowell Wood, Roderick Hyde, Ken Caldeira

November 2000

 

Research Paper: Ultrafine Particle Size Distributions Measured in Aircraft Exhaust Plumes – PDF

September 11, 2001

 

Research Paper: Regional Variations in U.S. Diurnal Temperature Range for the 11–14 September 2001 Aircraft Groundings: Evidence of Jet Contrail Influence on Climate

All planes grounded for three days due to terrorist attack. Contrails seen on satellite from six fighter jets cover more than 11,000 square miles.  From The Contrail Effect:

At least that was the case until September 11, 2001. For the first time since the jet age began, virtually all aircraft were grounded over the United States for three days. Even as they tried like the rest of us to absorb the enormity of the terrorist attacks, climatologists realized they had an unprecedented opportunity to scrutinize individual contrails, and several studies were quickly launched.

One study looked at the aforementioned contrails that grew to cover 7,700 square miles. Those condensation trails arose in the wake of six military aircraft flying between Virginia and Pennsylvania on September 12, 2001. From those isolated contrails, unmixed as they were with the usual dozens of others, Patrick Minnis, a senior research scientist at NASA’s Langely Research Center, and his colleagues were able to gain valuable insight into how a single contrail forms. Those once-in-a-lifetime data sets are so useful that Minnis is about to analyze them again in an expanded study.

Another study that took advantage of the grounding gave striking evidence of what contrails can do. David Travis of the University of Wisconsin-Whitewater and two colleagues measured the difference, over those three contrail-free days, between the highest daytime temperature and the lowest nighttime temperature across the continental U.S. They compared those data with the average range in day-night temperatures for the period 1971-2000, again across the contiguous 48 states. Travis’s team discovered that from roughly midday September 11 to midday September 14, the days had become warmer and the nights cooler, with the overall range greater by about two degrees Fahrenheit.

These results suggest that contrails can suppress both daytime highs (by reflecting sunlight back to space) and nighttime lows (by trapping radiated heat). That is, they can be both cooling and warming clouds. But what is the net effect? Do they cool more than they warm, or vice versa? “Well, the assumption is a net warming,” Travis says, “but there is a lot of argument still going on about how much of a warming effect they produce.”


September 11, 2001 - Presidential Chemtrails

July 2004

 

Close To Reality: Jet Fuel Made From Coal .


Jet Fuel Made From Coal

July 2006

 

Sky Graffiti Warming Up Earth?
CBS News, Aired July 29, 2006 2:19 PM


Contrails are lines of exhaust left by planes. It can be fun to watch them as they crisscross the sky. But as Anthony Mason reports, some people think they could spell trouble for the planet.

New research suggests that jet exhaust is four times better at trapping heat than ground emissions with contrails playing a critical role. Contrails form at high altitudes when hot jet engines pass through cold moist air. The clouds spread out trapping heat rising from the surface.





 August 2006

 

Stratospheric sulfur injection to reflect sunlight

 

Research Paper: Albedo Enhancement by Stratospheric Sulfur Injections – A Contribution to Resolve a Policy Dilemma


Albedo Enhancement by Stratospheric Sulfur Injections – A Contribution to Resolve a Policy Dilemma by Nobel prize winner Paul J. Crutzen

2007

 

George W. Bush mandates “Greenwashing” of the fossil fuel industry and the future of jet fuel gets real weird, chicken fat weird.

1.    Greenwashing (a compound word modelled on “whitewash”), or “green sheen,” is a form of spin in which green PR or green marketing is deceptively used to promote the perception that an organization’s products, aims or policies are environmentally friendly.

U.S. Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007

 

energy-independence-and-security-act-of-2007

Research Presentation: Biodiesel from Biodiesel

More information on aviation biofuels: The Chemical Trail Contrail-versy and Contrails, Geoengineering, and the Single Fuel Concept and Biofuels could not help climate change


February 2007

 


Scientist takes out the conspiracy out of airplanes contrails


2008

 

93’000 flights per day, watch this mind blowing animation!

This animation shows all scheduled flights over a 24h period (based on 2008 data). Every day 93’000 flights are starting from approx. 9’000 airports. At all time there are between 8’000 and 13’000 airplanes in the air. This animation was produced to be shown on the high definition 3D-Globe “Orbitarium” in Technorama – The Swiss Science Center in collaboration with Institute of Applied Information Technology InIT, Zurich University of Applied Sciences, Winterthur.

February 2008

 

Department of Homeland Security and MIT team up to steer hurricanes with Carbon Black Aerosol (soot)

Collaborative Research: On Hurricane Modification by Carbon Black Dispersion: Methods, Risk Mitigation, and Risk Communication – Dr. Moshe Alamaro

This presentation focused on the use of carbon black aerosol (CBA) to selectively heat parts of the atmosphere by dispersion of CBA above a hurricane. This scenario is motivated by the fact that the energy cycle of a hurricane may be represented as a Carnot heat engine, and reducing the contrast between “hot and cold reservoirs” should reduce the power of a hurricane and the CBA will absorb incident solar radiation to warm the “cold reservoir.”  Objectives of this study are to demonstrate direct control of the intensity or track of simulated hurricanes; to quantify amounts of CBA needed; to enhance understanding of the web of physical processes that power hurricanes in relation to the overall thermodynamics of hurricanes; to determine optimal dispersion scenarios; to enhance understanding of the radiative and flow properties of CBA; to establish causes, effects, and outcomes of CBA dispersion; and to develop methods to communicate risk to the public of large-scale weather modification efforts. To accomplish all this we will employ a diverse set of tools and methods, including a high-resolution mesoscale numerical weather prediction model to simulate hurricanes and the effect of adding CBA; engineering tools to develop manufacturing, transport, and dispersion strategies; and both semi-structured interviews and structured surveys to capture expert information and lay public perceptions.


Hurricane Hacking: The Department of Homeland Security enters the weather modification business

April 21, 2008

 

Doped jet fuel discussed at Weather Modification Conference. From the Extended Abstract:

Use of commuter aircraft with their jet fuels doped with aerosol generators is another possibility. Also the use of UAVs or blimps for aerosol dispersal could be considered. Potential adverse consequences, however, are likely including impacts on precipitation, local cold temperature extremes (which would also impact fossil fuel demands) and the hydrological cycle. …

3.4 Seeding cirrus clouds or making more contrails

On an annual average clouds cover between 55 to 60% of the earth (Matveev 1984) and much of that cloud cover consists of middle and high clouds. It is thought that globally cirrus clouds contribute to warming of the atmosphere owing to their contribution to downward transfer of LW radiation. In other words they are a greenhouse agent. Human activity is already modifying the cirrus clouds through the production of aircraft contrails. Kuhn (1970) found that contrails depleted solar radiation and increased downward LW radiation but during the daytime their shortwave influence dominates and they contribute to a net surface cooling. Kuhn (1970) calculated that if contrails persist over 24h their net effect would be cooling. Others have concluded that they lead to surface warming (Liou et al. 1991; Schumann 1994) but Sassen (1997) notes that the sign of the climatic impact of contrails is dependent upon particle size. Global estimates of the effects of contrails are they contribute to a net warming (Minnis et al. 2004).

It has even been proposed to seed in clear air in the upper troposphere to produce artificial cirrus which would warm the surface enough to reduce cold-season heating demands (Detwiler and Cho 1982). So the prospects for seeding cirrus to contribute to global surface cooling do not seem to be very good.

The only approach that might be feasible is to perform wide-area seeding with soot or carbonaceous aerosols which would absorb solar radiation and warm cirrus layers enough to perhaps dissipate cirrus clouds (a semi-direct effect). This strategy would be similar to that proposed by Watts (1997) and Crutzen (2006) for implementation in the stratosphere. As noted by Crutzen (2006) only 1.7% of the mass of sulfur is needed to produce a similar magnitude of surface cooling. Application at cirrus levels in the upper troposphere would have the double benefit of absorbing solar radiation thus contributing to surface cooling and dissipating cirrus clouds which would increase outgoing longwave radiation. Of course, the soot that becomes attached to ice crystals will reduce the albedo of cirrus thus countering the longwave warming effect to some degree. In addition, there is evidence that soot particles can act as ice nuclei, thus contributing to greater concentrations of ice crystals by heterogeneous nucleation but possibly reduced crystal production by homogeneous nucleation (DeMott et al. 1994; Kärcher et al. 2007). Thus it would be best to engineer carbonaceous aerosol to be ineffective as IN.

The possible adverse consequences of such a procedure can only be conjectured at this time but are mostly likely to impact the hydrological cycle. Complex chemical, cloud-resolving, and global models are required to evaluate the feasibility of this approach and to estimate possible adverse consequences. The feasibility of this approach in terms of implementation strategies is probably comparable to seeding sulfates in the lower stratosphere. The costs would be similar to Crutzen’s estimates for stratospheric seeding.

April 1, 2009

 

Research Paper: Modification of cirrus clouds to reduce global warming

dissolved or suspended in their jet fuel and later burned with the fuel to create seeding aerosol, or (2) injected into the hot engine exhaust, which should vaporize the seeding material, allowing it to condense as aerosol in the jet contrail”

Greenhouse gases and cirrus clouds regulate outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) and cirrus cloud coverage is predicted to be sensitive to the ice fall speed which depends on ice crystal size. The higher the cirrus, the greater their impact is on OLR. Thus by changing ice crystal size in the coldest cirrus, OLR and climate might be modified. Fortunately the coldest cirrus have the highest ice supersaturation due to the dominance of homogeneous freezing nucleation. Seeding such cirrus with very efficient heterogeneous ice nuclei should produce larger ice crystals due to vapor competition effects, thus increasing OLR and surface cooling. Preliminary estimates of this global net cloud forcing are more negative than −2.8Wm−2 and could neutralize the radiative forcing due to a CO2 doubling (3.7Wm−2). A potential delivery mechanism for the seeding material is already in place: the airline industry. Since seeding aerosol residence times in the troposphere are relatively short, the climate might return to its normal state within months after stopping the geoengineering experiment. The main known drawback to this approach is that it would not stop ocean acidification. It does not have many of the drawbacks that stratospheric injection of sulfur species has.

April 7, 2009

 

IPCC Radiative Forcing estimates do not account for contrails that have fanned out, turning into cirrus clouds.  Epic research paper points out the obvious.

Research Paper: Aviation and global climate change in the 21st century (Lee et al 2009)

AIC [aviation induced cloudiness] RFs for all the 2020 forecast and 2050 scenarios were scaled by fuel usage from the 2005 AIC RF value but are not included in the RF totals presented here. The methods by which the 2050 RFs have been calculated are simplified, particularly for O3, CH4 and contrail impacts. As such, the results presented here are indicative and should be followed up with a larger-scale international multimodel effort. In the case of AIC, we highlight that no process-based model has yet been presented in the literature and there is an urgent need for such modelling.

image source http://www.icao.int/Meetings/EnvironmentalColloquium/Documents/2010-Colloquium/1_Waitz_Non-CO2_Impacts.pdf

 

source http://www.airtn.eu/downloads/airtn_grewe_121005.pdf

March 2009

 

COntrails Spreading Into Cirrus (COSIC)

 

COntrails Spreading Into Cirrus (COSIC) aims to quantify the climate role of line shaped contrails caused by air-traffic that you often see in the sky. In particular, we aim to understand how they can sometimes spread into larger cloud decks. Such spreading contrails could add significantly to the CO2-driven climate impacts of aviation, but estimates of their effect are very uncertain.

COSIC has made direct measurements of spreading contrail using dedicated flights over the UK with the BAe-146-301 large Atmospheric Research Aircraft. These measurements are now being used to incorporate spreading contrails into models of climate change. COSIC also aims to understand various stakeholder needs for aviation-climate science and communicate science results in the most appropriate way to the industry, policy makers and the public.

COSIC is a Natural Environment Research Council (NERC) sponsored project led by the University of Leeds, collaborating with the Universities of Manchester and Reading, the UK Met Office, the Facility For Airborne Atmospheric Measurements (FAAM) and the Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre, DLR, Germany.

source: http://www.cosic.leeds.ac.uk/

Research Paper: A case study of the radiative forcing of persistent contrails evolving into contrail-induced cirrus – PDF

The radiative forcing due to a distinct pattern of persistent contrails that form into contrail-induced cirrus near and over the UK is investigated in detail for a single case study during March 2009. The development of the contrail-induced cirrus is tracked using a number of high-resolution polar orbiting and lower-resolution geostationary satellite instruments and is found to persist for a period of around 18 h, and at its peak, it covers over 50,000 km2. The shortwave (SW) and longwave (LW) radiative forcing of the contrail-induced cirrus is estimated using a combination of geostationary satellite instruments, numerical weather prediction models, and surface observation sites. As expected, the net radiative effect is a relatively small residual of the much stronger but opposing SW and LW effects, locally totaling around 10 W m−2 during daylight hours and 30 W m−2 during nighttime. A simple estimate indicates that this single localized event may have generated a global-mean radiative forcing of around 7% of recent estimates of the persistent contrail radiative forcing due to the entire global aircraft fleet on a diurnally averaged basis. A single aircraft operating in conditions favorable for persistent contrail formation appears to exert a contrail-induced radiative forcing some 5000 times greater (in W m−2 km−1) than recent estimates of the average persistent contrail radiative forcing from the entire civil aviation fleet. This study emphasizes the need to establish whether similar events are common or highly unusual for a confident assessment of the total climate effect of aviation to be made.

source: http://www.cosic.leeds.ac.uk/

 

May 2009

 

Research Paper: The Benefits, Risks, and Costs of Stratospheric Geoengineering

“dispersing gases from planes .. addition of sulfur to the fuel .. release the aerosol through the exhaust system … release the sulfur from its own tank within the plane”

 

The Benefits, Risks, and Costs of Stratospheric Geoengineering

March 4, 2010

 

Contrail Mitigation options discussed at ICAO Colloqium on Aviation and Climate Change

Contrail cirrus contributes a large fraction to the aviation induced climate impact (comparable to 50 years of aviation C02)

Satellite data analyses suggest observable impact of aviation on cirrus cover and radiation fluxes.

The climate impact of aviation induced contrail cirrus depends on aircraft properties (e.g. soot emissions) and routing (avoid cirrus forming regions) [known as Ice-Supersaturated Regions or ISSR]

Both aspect offer the potential for aviation to reduce the climate impact of aviation (less soot emissions, less warming and more cooling contrails; predictable for operational planning)



contrail-mitigation-options

ICAO-use-contrails-to-geoengineer-skies_o6wtgs

Climate Optimized Routing of Flights (to avoid contrails)

A first test version of climate optimised flight planning (only contrails and fuel burn = CO2) is already implemented within the Lufthansa Systems tools (UFO)

A more comprehensive solution will be tested during the next few years (REACT4C)



http://www.dlr.de/pa/en/desktopdefault.aspx/tabid-8859/15306_read-19960/

More info:



March 10, 2010

 

Case Orange – Belfort Group Chemtrail Report

70 pages. Case Orange report (resumé version)
328 pages. Case Orange report (complete version)


http://web.archive.org/web/20130920172728/http://www.belfort-group.eu/blogs/post/9


March 2011

 

Research Paper: Atmospheric science: Seeing through contrails

Contrails formed by aircraft can evolve into cirrus clouds indistinguishable from those formed naturally. These ‘spreading contrails’ may be causing more climate warming today than all the carbon dioxide emitted by aircraft since the start of aviation.

http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v1/n1/full/nclimate1078.html

June 2011

 

Research Presentation: Design of Aircraft Trajectories based on Trade-offs between Emission Sources Ninth USA/Europe Air Traffic Management Research and Development Seminar (ATM2011) Final Paper dated April 14, 2011

There are indications that persistent contrails can lead to adverse climate change, although the complete effect on climate forcing is still uncertain. A flight trajectory optimization algorithm with fuel and contrails models, which develops alternative flight paths, provides policy makers the necessary data to make trade-offs between persistent contrails mitigation and aircraft fuel consumption.

source: http://www.atmseminar.org/seminarContent/seminar9/presentations/20-Sridhar-PresentationPDF-6-3-11.pdf 

July 2011

 

David Keith’s research paper: Geoengineering Cost Analysis by Aurora Flight Sciences

However, injection of the sulfuric acid into the exhaust in this way may represent an efficient method by which to disperse it into the atmosphere. This analysis suggests that even at the maximum sulfuric acid release rate under consideration (24.9 kg/s) the thrust level produced by the engine is not adversely affected (1.05 thrust ratio).

source: http://www.keith.seas.harvard.edu/Misc/AuroraGeoReport.pdf

source: http://www.keith.seas.harvard.edu/Misc/AuroraGeoReport.pdf 

August 21, 2011

 

Do Planes Trigger Rains? Naked Scientists Podcast

The rain in Spain falls mainly on the “plane”. Or so the saying goes, but new research has confirmed that aeroplanes do cause clouds to dump their contents prematurely, often around airports, and in this week’s show we explore this weather-altering effect of aviation.

November 7, 2011

 

United Airlines Flies First U.S. Commercial Advanced Biofuel Flight

“United is taking a significant step forward to advance the use of environmentally responsible and cost-efficient alternative fuels,” said Pete McDonald, United’s executive vice president and chief operations officer. “Sustainable biofuels, produced on a large scale at an economically viable price, can one day play a meaningful role in powering everyone’s trip on an airline.”

Today’s flight demonstrates United’s commitment to sustainable biofuels and making progress toward enhancing energy security, diversity of our fuel supply and a reduction in lifecycle greenhouse gas emissions compared to traditional fossil fuels.

United marks nation’s first biofuel-powered commercial flight – Video


November – December 2011

 

The birth of Ultra-Low Sulfur Jet Fuel (ULSJ fuel)

Research Presentation: NASA Alternative Fuel Research

Commercial Aviation Alternative Fuels Initiative (CAAFI) – 2011 General Meeting

What? The 2011 General Meeting and Expo of the Commercial Aviation Alternative Fuels Initiative® (CAAFI®) was held November 30-December 1, 2011, at the Georgetown University Conference Center and Hotel in Washington, DC. The meeting was organized by CAAFI’s four co-sponsors in cooperation with conference organizer Kallman Worldwide, Inc. For the first time the General Meeting included an adjacent Expo with displays by 32 exhibitors including fuel producers, federal agencies, state initiatives and support service providers.

Why? Since 2006, CAAFI has been leading efforts to develop and deploy sustainable alternative fuels for commercial aviation. There has been dramatic progress since CAAFI’s last General Meeting in 2009. In the intervening years the industry has moved from alternative fuels as an aspirational concept to achieve environmental gain, security of supply, and improved economics, to the emergence of sustainable alternative fuels as an operational reality. Following recent fuel approvals, government support for deployment and the beginning of alternative jet fuel passenger flights by United Airlines and Alaska Airlines, the aviation sector is on the cusp of a major expansion of operational use of sustainable alternative jet fuels in the United States and globally. This meeting gathered global government and industry stakeholders to share progress and opportunities, and set goals and strategies for developing and deploying alternative jet fuels for commercial and military aviation building on the progress achieved to date.

https://www.scribd.com/doc/259577174/NASA-Alternative-Fuel-Research-Bulzan-CAAFI-NASA-Presentation-11-30-11

February 2012

 

INCITE Researchers Explore How Aircraft Contrails Can Impact Climate

Contrails are ice clouds that form by condensation of water vapor exhaust from aircraft engines and develop further in the aircraft wake as they are entrained by the airplane trailing vortices (see Fig. 1). When contrails spread to form cirrus clouds (see Fig. 2), they can persist for hours and extend over areas of several square kilometers. These “contrail cirrus,” which artificially increase Earth’s cloudiness and become almost indistinguishable from natural cirrus, are among the most uncertain contributors to the Earth’s radiative forcing. (Radiative forcing is defined as the change of the net radiating flux resulting from changes in the atmospheric composition. A measure of the perturbation of Earth-atmosphere energy budgets, it is widely used as a climate metric.)

source https://www.alcf.anl.gov/articles/incite-researchers-explore-how-aircraft-contrails-can-impact-climate-1

March 23, 2012

 

Geoengineering paper proposes the USAF Civil Reserve Air Fleet (CRAF) convert passenger Boeing 747’s to deliver chemicals for Solar Radiation Management.

Research Paper: Cost analysis of stratospheric albedo modification delivery systems

The authors acknowledge helpful commentary from David Whelan and Robert Parks. Funding for this work was provided by [BILL GATES] the Fund for Innovative Climate and Energy Research (FICER), see http://keith.seas.harvard.edu/FICER.html. The work by Aurora Flight Sciences was funded as a consulting contract by FICER funds administered through the University of Calgary under the direction of David Keith.

Determining the Boeing 747 Conversion Costs for the Civil Reserve Air Fleet Enhancement Program

The Civil Reserve Air Fleet (CRAF) Enhancement Program provides a contractual arrangement between the Air Force and major U.S. airlines for modifying Boeing 747 and DC-10 passenger aircraft for use as convertibles–aircraft capable of carrying military cargo in an emergency, while providing commercial passenger service in peacetime. The airlines will incur several costs as a result of modifying these aircraft, each of which must be reimbursed by the Air Force. The costs incurred by the airlines include: net revenue lost during the eight week modification period; the modification cost: increased operating costs for 16 years due to the higher weight and increased value of a convertible aircraft; and the opportunity cost of retaining a modified aircraft for 16 years. Each of these costs were calculated for the Boeing 747, with the following results: $3,014,564 net loss of revenue during modification; $14,300,000 modification cost; 46,637,015 increased operating costs for 16 years; and no opportunity cost. These costs total $23,951,579, and represent the amount of reimbursement from the Air Force for each Boeing 747 conversion. (Author)

USAF Civil Reserve Air Fleet (CRAF) Fact Sheet

The following air carriers are members of the Civil Reserve Air Fleet (subject to change monthly)

International Segment – Long Range Section:
ABX Air – Air Transport International – American Airlines – Atlas Air – Delta Air Lines – Federal Express Airlines – Hawaiian Airlines – Kalitta Air Cargo – National Air Cargo Group dba – National Airlines – Omni Air International – Polar Air Cargo – Sky Lease I – Southern Air – United Air Lines – United Parcel Service – US Airways


International Segment – Short Range Section:
Alaska Airlines – American Airlines – Delta Air Lines – Jet Blue Airways – Lynden Air Cargo – Miami Air International – MN Airlines dba Sun Country – Northern Air Cargo – United Air Lines


National Segment – Domestic Section:
Allegiant Air – Southwest Airlines


source: http://www.keith.seas.harvard.edu/papers/159.McClellan.2012.CostAnalysisOfStratosp.e.pdf

September 2012

 

Stratospheric passenger flights are likely an inefficient geoengineering strategy

Solar radiation management with stratospheric sulfur aerosols has been proposed as a potential geoengineering strategy to reduce global warming. However, there has been very little investigation on the efficiency of specific injection methods suggested. Here, we show that using stratospheric passenger flights to inject sulfate aerosols would not cause significant forcing under realistic injection scenarios: even if all present-day intercontinental flights were lifted above the tropopause, we simulate global surface shortwave radiative forcings of  − 0.05 W m−2 and  − 0.10 W m−2 with current and five times enhanced fuel sulfur concentrations, respectively.

October 2012

 


Employing commercial aircraft to inject sulphur into the stratosphere is not a viable strategy, according to Finnish researchers. Even if planes flew at higher altitudes and emitted ten times the current legal limit of sulphur, the cooling effect would be lower than if the same amount of sulphur was injected over the tropics.

February 2014

 

US Defense Department switching to civilian-grade jet fuel

With testing of civilian-grade jet A with additives nearly complete, 36 military bases in the US have converted away from the military-grade JP-8. The remaining more than 230 locations are slated to convert in 2014.

“For the conversion in the continental United States, the demonstration phase of the conversion is essentially completed,” said Susan Lowe, a spokeswoman for the Defense Logistics Agency Energy, the fuel-buying arm of the Department of Defense. “Virtually all DOD aviation and ground equipment has been tested and (is) ready for the use of commercial specification jet A fuel with additives.”

The two main exceptions to the conversion are jet A-1, a civilian grade nearly identical to JP-8 that is commonly used by the military outside of the US, and JP-5, which is mainly used on aircraft carriers. Jet A-1 has the same flash point as jet A but a lower freezing point:  jet A freezes at minus 40 degrees Celsius and A-1 freezes at minus 47 degrees Celsius. The requirement of an antistatic additive for A-1 is another major difference, while JP-8 further requires corrosion inhibitor and icing inhibitor additives.

The DoD began the initiative in 2009 with demonstrations at four Air Force locations.

March 2014

 

Academy of Finland’s FICCA funded COOL Project

“Another technique examined was the use of commercial passenger aircraft flying at high altitudes to inject sulphate aerosols, emitted by aviation fuel, into the stratosphere. This would mimic a volcanic eruption, during which sulphur compounds are released into the stratosphere. They reflect solar radiation and thereby have a clear cooling effect on the climate. No previous calculations are available on the viability of using commercial flights in this way.

“In terms of efficient geoengineering strategies, this technique proved unviable. It would work best close to the equator, but little air traffic operates there – commercial flight routes are operated further north. In addition, current commercial aircraft are unable to fly high enough in the stratosphere. We would need new planes with large amounts of sulphur added to their fuel,” Laaksonen says.

Commercial aircraft could be used to deliever sulfate into stratosphere by increasing fuel sulfur content and the flight altitude of inter-continental flights • The sulfur content of the fuel should be increased to about 50 times the current level to have a significant cooling effect • The cooling effect would be confined to the Northern Hemisphere

http://web.archive.org/web/20150314160918/http://www.apropos.fi/Tiedostot/Tiedostot/FICCA/FICCA%2016.04.2013/Posters/FICCA_poster_Partanen_COOL.pdf

December 4, 2012

 

Arctic Methane Emergency Group (AMEG) demands global Geoengineering in “Strategic Plan” sent to all world leaders.  Claiming methane from the arctic could erupt rapidly, killing everyone on the planet, they demand immediate action which includes spraying chemicals from planes and using contrails to cool the world.

As for appropriate interventions, there are a number of things to do immediately in parallel:

1.    Consider practices and regulations that are having, or risk having, a heating effect on the Arctic.  A postponement of drilling in the Arctic would be sensible, because of inevitable escape of methane but also because of the risk of blowout with or without oil spill.
2.    Try to maintain or even enhance the current cooling effect from currently emitted sulphate aerosols in the troposphere at mid to high northern latitudes.  For example the regulation to ban bunker fuel for ships should be relaxed while encouraging continued use of bunker fuel where the resulting aerosol emissions might be beneficial.  Reduction of sulphate aerosol ‘pollution’ will be unpopular with many environment groups, but the priority to cool the Arctic has to be established.
3.    Establish the positive and negative net forcing from contrails, and encourage flight paths of commercial airplanes to reduce positive or increase negative net forcing.  The ban on polar flights, lifted recently, should be reintroduced.
4.    Reduce black carbon into Arctic.  Make for preparedness to fight tundra fires in Arctic and sub-Arctic.
5.    Find ways to remove black carbon from coal fired power stations, while allowing or compensating for the cooling effect that their aerosol emissions would be producing without the scrubbing out of sulphur compounds.

Geoengineering actions for enhancing the reflection of sunlight back into space and for increasing the thermal energy emitted into space.

1.    Prepare the supply and logistics for spraying aerosol precursor in large quantities, preferably into the lower stratosphere, for deployment by next March or April (not sooner because the risk of ozone depletion).  Of course, possible negative impacts have to be considered before large scale deployment, but it is worth being fully prepared for such deployment on the assumption that this technique can be made to work effectively.
2.    Develop and test the deployment of suitably reflective particles, of such materials as TiO2, as alternative or supplement to sulphate aerosol.  Prepare for large scale deployment.
3.    Finance the development of, and deployment capability for, marine cloud brightening, with a view to deployment on a large scale in spring 2013 – assuming that is the earliest conceivable time.  The main technical problem seems to be with the jets, so experts from major companies in the ink-jet technology field need to be brought in.  Boats and land installations need to be kitted out.
4.    Finance the development and deployment capability for cirrus cloud removal, since this is a promising technique.  Suitable chemicals need to be identified/confirmed, with stock-piling of these cloud seeding chemicals.  Aircraft need to be kitted out to spray these chemicals.
5.    Finance brainstorming sessions for geoengineering, with top scientists and engineers, such as to suggest further measures, improvements to above techniques and the development of other intervention ideas.
6.    Finance the research and trials of all promising techniques for helping to cool the Arctic, including the three geoengineering techniques above.  Update Earth System models to deal with the actualities of sea ice retreat, such that the effects of different techniques can be modelled and optimum joint deployment strategies established.


source: http://a-m-e-g.blogspot.com/2012/12/ameg-strategic-plan.html

source http://a-m-e-g.blogspot.com/2012/12/ameg-strategic-plan.html


February – April 2013

 

Jet Biofuel Enlisted for Contrail Control

 

Contrails might be a punch line in the culture these days, thanks to the imaginative folks who have rechristened them “chemtrails” and embroidered them with elaborate theories involving government and corporate misdeed.

But contrails are pretty serious business for a less conspiratorial reason: scientists believe these ice clouds generated by water exhaust gases from aircraft engines could have a real impact on the climate, perhaps by cooling temperatures during the day and warming them at night.

When contrails spread to form cirrus clouds, they can persist for hours and extend over areas of several square kilometers. These “contrail cirrus,” which artificially increase Earth’s cloudiness and become almost indistinguishable from natural cirrus, are among the most uncertain contributors to the Earth’s radiative forcing. (Radiative forcing is defined as the change of the net radiating flux resulting from changes in the atmospheric composition. A measure of the perturbation of Earth-atmosphere energy budgets, it is widely used as a climate metric).



ACCESS – Alternative-Fuel Effects on Contrails and Cruise EmiSSions Flight Schedule

NASA DC-8
February 18, 2013 – March 15, 2013
April 4, 2013 – April 12, 2013


source: http://web.archive.org/web/20130525222936/http://www.kallmanclassic.com/microsites/caafiexpo2011/presentations/Environment%20Team/Bulzan%20CAAFI%20NASA%20Presentation%2011-30-11.pdf

More Info


June 2013

 

Scientists don’t know jack about aerosols.

Research Paper: Dust ice nuclei effects on cirrus clouds in ECHAM5-HAM

Aerosol-cloud interactions are one of the main uncertainties in climate research. Up to now a lot of research has been conducted on aerosol-cloud interactions in warm clouds. The impact of aerosols on ice or mixed-phase clouds is much less understood. Cirrus clouds in an unpolluted environment are assumed to form mainly via homogeneous freezing. The presence of heterogeneous ice nuclei can lead to earlier ice crystal formation and change the microphysical properties of cirrus clouds. Recent box model studies even suggest that heterogeneous freezing can suppress homogeneous freezing, if several conditions are fulfilled. Most likely this would lead to cirrus clouds containing fewer and larger ice crystals. If homogeneous and heterogeneous freezing compete either freezing mechanism may dominate depending mainly on vertical velocity and number density of ice nuclei. Thus, it is not clear yet how number and size of ice crystals are affected.

May 2014

 

ACCESS II Alternative Jet Fuel Flight Tests Begin

NASA to study the effects on emissions and contrail formation of burning alternative jet fuels

Research Paper: Impact of Aviation on Climate: FAA’s Aviation Climate Change Research Initiative (ACCRI) Phase II

In particular, the use of renewable fuels will further decrease RF associated with sulfate aerosol and black carbon. While this focused ACCRI program effort has yielded significant new knowledge, fundamental uncertainties remain in our understanding of aviation climate impacts. These include several chemical and physical processes associated with NOx-O3-CH4 interactions and the formation of aviation-produced contrails and the effects of aviation soot aerosols on cirrus clouds as well as on deriving a measure of change in temperature from RF for aviation non-CO2 climate impacts – an important metric that informs decision-making.

source: http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00089.1

ACCESS-II Flight Schedule

Equipment Installation May 1-5, 2014

Flights May 6-29, 2014

Videos

Alternative Fuel Effects on Contrails and Cruise Emissions Chase Plane Project


Alternative Fuel Effects on Contrails and Cruise Emissions Data Timeseries

July 2014

 

ACCESS-II testing JP8 DOPED WITH SULFUR, is that any surprise?

 

Research Presentation: In-Situ Measurements of Contrail Properties Measured During the 2013-2014 ACCESS Project

Three different fuel types are discussed: a low-sulfur JP-8 fuel, a 50:50 blend of JP-8 and a camelina-based HEFA fuel, and the JP-8 fuel doped with sulfur.

January 2015

 

Rogue Geoengineering

Dian Seidel tells Weather Modification Conference members: “We can not detect Rogue Geoengineering

Research Paper: Detection limits of albedo changes induced by climate engineering. Nature Climate Change, 4, 93-98. doi:10.1038/NCLIMATE2076.

“In summary, although very large albedo increases are potentially detectable, interannual albedo variability overwhelms the maximum conceivable increases associated with the leading proposed SRM schemes.”


Cirrus Cloud Seeding with Pepto Bismol?  

Introducing Thermal Radiation Management (TRM) or the removal of high, cold cirrus clouds

Research Paper: On The Climate response to Cirrus Cloud Seeding – VIDEO

Research Paper: Modifications of cirrus clouds in a geoengineering framework

TRM: Cirrus cloud seeding

  • Idea: inject highly efficient ice nuclei into cirrus forming regions.
  • Create competition effect between homogeneous and heterogeneous ice formation.
  • Larger and heavier ice crystals can form
    • Ice cloud depletion
  • Removal of longwave trapping cirrus and upper tropospheric water vapour.
  • Suggested seeding material:
    • Bismuth tri-iodide, BiI3
    • Cheap’ish and non-toxic.
  • Seeding via commercial airliners?
  • Advantage: seeding aerosol residence time is relatively short in the troposphere.
  • Drawback: does not address ocean acidification issue.

Research Paper: Cirrus cloud seeding: a climate engineering mechanism with reduced side effects?

Day 1 – Could we? Climate Engineering Research Symposium – July 7-10 2015

“Jon Egill Kristjansson told us about the fine line a potential cloud seeder would have to walk by seeding small, homogenous ice nuclei in cirrus clouds, which then cool the planet by letting more long-wave radiation out, but making sure not to “over-seed, as injecting too many nuclei would mean reduced solar reflection and subsequently more warming. We heard that although initial modeling on cirrus cloud “thinning” in this manner indicates that the method is scientifically feasible, as one member of the audience pointed out, very little is known about its technical feasibility. The creation of small, homogenous ice nuclei in cirrus clouds could cool the planet, but a multitude of questions remain regarding how, where and under what conditions such particles can be successfully created.”


source: http://folk.uib.no/ngfhd/EarthClim/Calendar/Oslo-2012/Muri_EarthClim_2012.pdf

July 2015

 

Plan to geoengineer Contrails with Biofuels and Sulfur-Doped jet fuel tanks proposed (the Two-Tank solution)

Research Paper: Impacts of aviation fuel sulfur content on climate and human health – PDF

Applying high FSCs [fuel sulfur content] at aviation cruise altitudes combined with ULSJ [ultra-low sulfur jet fuel, aviation biofuel] fuel at lower altitudes result in reduced aviation-induced mortality and increased negative RE compared to the baseline aviation scenario.

 

source: http://www.atmos-chem-phys-discuss.net/15/18921/2015/acpd-15-18921-2015.pdf 

CONCLUSION

 

If these clouds, whatever you call them, weren’t a geoengineering experiment before, they surely are now.

The End.

~ Jim Lee

Learn more about Geoengineering on my research page:

Geoengineering and Weather Modification Exposed



My Speech to the EPA about Flight Pollution

 

My-Speech-to-the-EPA-about-Jet-Pollution


Here is the final version of my speech I will be giving at the EPA hearing on flight pollution in Washington DC. on August 11th, 2015:


[NOTE: TRANSCRIPT CONTAINS MINOR CHANGES FROM THE VIDEO PRESENTATION]

[FREE PDF VERSION: DOWNLOAD, SHARE, EMAIL A SENATOR. ALSO ON SCRIBD]

Why is the EPA claiming that six greenhouse gases emitted from jet planes are a “threat to human health” under the Clean Air Act [1] while doing nothing to address ongoing lawsuits over leaded aviation gasoline [2] or the real health concerns of stakeholders worldwide: cancer-causing, heavy metals in fuels and their additives, [2][3][4][5][6] and aviation-induced cloudiness (AIC)?

You (The EPA) claim the authority to regulate aviation emissions under the Clean Air Act 231(a)(2)(A), a law that should protect us from the aforementioned poisonous pollution. However, the definition of “pollution” is being perverted to mean “climate change gases” in what can only be called a violation of the spirit of the law. Quote:

“air pollution which may reasonably be anticipated to endanger public health or welfare.” [7]

As you can see by the wording in the Clean Air Act, lead, barium, aluminum, and trade-secret, toxic chemicals clearly present a greater danger to public health than greenhouse gases, no matter how much climate science you accumulate. Furthermore, Material Safety Data Sheets of aviation fuel and their additives almost always contain the same warning: “DO NOT DUMP IN WATER.” Yet raw fuel-dumping [8][9] or burning these dangerous chemicals and then dumping them in water is somehow safe? Finally, despite great efforts to find bio-accumulation or bio-magnification studies on precipitated aviation pollutants, none seem to exist.

The EPA and Obama administration are ignoring the global outrage over the most visible climate change concern from airplanes: CLOUD CREATION.

Do a search for the word “chemtrails” and you will see millions of concerned citizens who “Look Up” and wonder “What in the World Are They Spraying?” [10] Despite what you may think of the myriad of maladies attributed to these clouds, the global outrage is nonetheless clear.  They are right to be worried and we should all be concerned.

The EPA’s claim that CO2 is a greater threat to human health than contrails and aviation induced cloudiness is based on incomplete IPCC data that downplays the effects of contrails on our climate. The IPCC’s 4th assessment of contrail radiative forcing only accounted for “linear contrails,” meaning that any contrail that spreads out and turns into cirrus clouds was not accounted for.

How significant is the heat-trapping contrail conundrum? Quote:

“Contrails formed by aircraft can evolve into cirrus clouds indistinguishable from those formed naturally. These ‘spreading contrails’ may be causing more climate warming today than all the carbon dioxide emitted by aircraft since the start of aviation.” [11]

Another researcher stated:

“A single aircraft operating in conditions favorable for persistent contrail formation appears to exert a contrail-induced radiative forcing some 5000 times greater than recent estimates of the average persistent contrail radiative forcing from the entire civil aviation fleet.” [12]

Although this research has now been incorporated into IPCC computer models and revised down, in my opinion, these claims highlight gaping holes in climate science.

2013 “Aerosol-cloud interactions are one of the main uncertainties in climate research.”  [13]

Scientific understanding of how contrails transition to cirrus clouds is severely lacking but rapidly evolving with the latest research showing that cirrus clouds are filled with metal aerosols from human sources.

 The big one that we’ve found is lead. … comes from things like tetraethtyl lead in fuels … still used in some light aviation. [2]  So that’s probably the biggest metal that we find, or the most frequent metal that we find. But we find a whole host of different metals, actually. [14][15]

Apparently, small amounts of metal particles have major effects on cirrus clouds:

It would seem that you would have to change all of the aerosol in the atmosphere very radically to get a big effect on the clouds. But because mineral dust and metallic particles are such a small amount of the particulate matter – just a percent or two – it means that you only have change about a percent or two of the particles to get a big effect on these clouds. [14][15]

The latest research casts doubt on the IPCC’s contrail assumptions and requires serious consideration when addressing the real climate change impact of aviation:

  • High altitude metals and cirrus cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) are likely coming from leaded AVGAS and jet exhaust.
  • Contrails are making cirrus clouds and small changes in atmospheric metal have large impacts on cirrus cloud creation.
  • Cirrus clouds trap heat and likely have a greater climate change impact than CO2.

source: http://www.cosic.leeds.ac.uk/

Finally, aviation-induced cloudiness endangers future growth in solar energy, affects tourism, and is projected to make terrestrial astronomy impossible by 2050.  [16]

Geoengineering scientists, NASA, NOAA, FAA, USDA, DOE and international corporate partners are discussing the use of biofuels and sulfur-doped jet fuels for contrail control, [17][18] and Cirrus Cloud Seeding with Bismuth tri-iodide to melt these clouds away. [19]  The EPA should be involved directly in these discussions.

As a result of these recent findings, I strongly encourage the EPA to consider expanding the scope of this endangerment to include metal particulates and cloud formation from jet exhaust.

If the EPA complies with the spirit of the Clean Air Act, they will protect us from metal aerosols attributed to Alzheimer’s, Autism, Cancer, and a plethora of other debilitating illnesses.

If the EPA is truly concerned about aviation-induced climate change, they will regulate the production of contrails and cirrus clouds which change our climate to a much greater extent than the sum of the six greenhouse gases named in this Proposal. [1]

Regulating heavy metals and aviation-induced cloudiness will be meaningless without proper verification. Even though International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) members sign a binding agreement to only use certain chemicals in their gas tanks, we all know agreements and regulations are useless without proper verification.

Therefore, I request that MANDATORY, RANDOM testing of jet exhaust be immediately implemented.

This is the most important step the EPA can take to follow the spirit of the law, do its due diligence to protect us from harmful pollution, and get real-world data to improve future regulations.

Most of the data behind this endangerment finding comes from research in highly controlled environments where most variables are known. We need verification of non-ideal situations where fuel fouling, [20] FAME contamination, [21] or improper maintenance end in vastly different exhaust particulates than seen in “lab” settings.

To achieve verification, I propose that the EPA randomly attach a trailing probe to both foreign and domestic flights, then collect and analyze the results to determine real-world exhaust constituents. Alternatively, ground-based LIDAR observations [22] may be possible over fixed, high-traffic areas and prevent possible terrorist attacks using aerosols. Either way you choose, we need verification and protection.

In conclusion, the EPA should expand this endangerment to include metal aerosols and cloud creation, create a verification system that includes all aircraft, protects us from aviation pollution, holds violators accountable, and commits to better scientific accuracy for future determinations.

Thank you for this opportunity to speak on behalf of so many who could not be here, and thank you for listening to a “lay person’s views” on this subject.  While I appreciate the efforts of the Center for Biological Diversity, the Sierra Group, and Friends of the Earth to get the EPA to hold the aviation industry accountable, the poor people like myself have to live near these airports, under these fuel dumps, and under these clouded skies. I hope that some faith can be restored in our EPA by your action here and now. Tell the ICAO that they will meet your demands, and our demands, not the other way around.

Thank you again,

James Lee
http://climateviewer.com/rezn8d/



REFERENCES

[1] Page 37763, Federal Register / Vol. 80 , No. 126 / Wednesday, July 1, 2015 “Proposed Finding That Greenhouse Gas Emissions From Aircraft Cause or Contribute to Air Pollution That May Reasonably Be Anticipated To Endanger Public Health and Welfare and Advance Notice of Proposed Rulemaking; Proposed Rule” – http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/FR-2015-07-01/html/2015-15192.htm
[2] Friends of the Earth, April 21, 2014 – EPA report shows violation of federal airborne lead standards at two California airports, yet it continues to delay action – http://www.foe.org/news/archives/2013-06-epa-report-shows-violation-of-federal-airborne-lead-standards
[3] Octel America Inc. – Stadis 450 Barium Salt (DINNSA) Material Safety Data Sheet: http://hazard.com/msds/files/cjn/cjnmq.html  –http://msdsreport.com/msds/CLNRZ  – NOTES: TRIMETHYLBENZENE (SARA 313), 10 – 30% TRADE SECRET POLYMER CONTAINING SULPHUR, 5 – 10% TRADE SECRET POLYMER CONTAINING NITROGEN,
NAPHTHALENE (SARA 313)

[4] Space and Naval Warfare Systems Center, December 2000 – Trace Element and Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbon Analyses of Jet Engine Fuels: Jet A, JP5, and JP8 – http://oai.dtic.mil/oai/oai?verb=getRecord&metadataPrefix=html&identifier=ADA396143
[5] U.S. Department of Health hand Human Services – Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry – Toxicological Profile for JP-5 and JP-8 – http://www.atsdr.cdc.gov/toxprofiles/tp.asp?id=773&tid=150
[6] GE Water – SPEC-Aid 8Q462 turbine fuel stabilizer and detergent (HiTTS, JP8+100) additive MSDS – http://www.hazard.com/msds/f2/cdg/cdgcf.html – http://www.scribd.com/doc/236182788/SPEC-Aid-8Q462-turbine-fuel-stabilizer-and-detergent-additive-by-GE-Power-Water – NOTES: TRIMETHYLBENZENE (SARA 313) CAS:95-63-6, TRADE SECRET INGRED 561, TSRN 125438-5273P, TRADE SECRET INGRED 428, TSRN 125438-5266P, NAPHTHALENE (SARA 313) (CERCLA) CAS:91-20-3
[7] Clean Air Act 231(a)(2)(A), 42 U.S. Code § 7571 – Establishment of standards https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/42/7571
[8] “Six thousand feet was the DOD standard until the introduction of JP8 jet fuel. JP8 did not disseminate as well as the JP4 and JP5 that were previously used by the Navy. The Navy and the Air Force were investigating a higher dump altitude. He affirmed that any fuel that did not dissipate in the air would do so on the ground within 18 to 20 hours.” CHILDHOOD LEUKEMIA CLUSTERS, IN FALLON, NEVADA – FIELD HEARING BEFORE THE COMMITTEE ON ENVIRONMENT AND PUBLIC WORKS, UNITED STATES SENATE, ONE HUNDRED SEVENTH CONGRESS, FIRST SESSION ON RESPONSES BY THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT TO ‘‘DISEASE CLUSTERS’’ RESULTING FROM POSSIBLE ENVIRONMENTAL HAZARDS – APRIL 12, 2001 — FALLON, NV http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/CHRG-107shrg78069/pdf/CHRG-107shrg78069.pdf
[9] High Country News, March 9, 2014. “Fallon, Nevada’s deadly legacy.”https://www.hcn.org/issues/46.4/fallon-nevadas-deadly-legacy
[10] “Chemtrails” Google Search – 5,560,000 results – July 25, 2015.https://www.google.com/search?q=chemtrails
[11] Boucher, O. Atmospheric science: Seeing through contrails, Nature Climate Change 1, 24–25 (2011) doi:10.1038/nclimate1078. http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v1/n1/full/nclimate1078.html
[12]  Haywood, J. M., R. P. Allan, J. Bornemann, P. Forster, P. N. Francis, S. Milton, G. Rädel, A. Rap, K. P. Shine, and R. Thorpe (2009), A case study of the radiative forcing of persistent contrails evolving into contrail-induced cirrus, J. Geophys. Res., 114, D24201, doi:10.1029/2009JD012650. – http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2009JD012650/abstract
[13] Ulrike Lohmann, Miriam Kübbeler, Johannes Hendricks and Bernd Kärcher Dust ice nuclei effects on cirrus clouds in ECHAM5-HAM AIP Conf. Proc. 1527, 752 (2013); http://dx.doi.org/10.1063/1.4803380
[14] Science Magazine Podcast, Transcript, 10 May 2013,http://podcasts.aaas.org/science_podcast/SciencePodcast_130510.mp3  –http://www.sciencemag.org/content/340/6133/766.2.full
[15] Science 14 June 2013: Vol. 340 no. 6138 pp. 1320-1324 DOI: 10.1126/science.1234145 “Clarifying the Dominant Sources and Mechanisms of Cirrus Cloud Formation” http://www.sciencemag.org/content/340/6138/1320.abstract
[16] Paul Rincon, BBC News. March 2006. Telescopes Worthless by 2050 – Ground-based astronomy could be impossible in 40 years because of pollution from aircraft exhaust trails and climate change, an expert says. – http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/4755996.stm
[17] Kapadia, Z. Z., Spracklen, D. V., Arnold, S. R., Borman, D. J., Mann, G. W., Pringle, K. J., Monks, S. A., Reddington, C. L., Benduhn, F., Rap, A., Scott, C. E., Butt, E. W., and Yoshioka, M.: Impacts of aviation fuel sulfur content on climate and human health, Atmos. Chem. Phys. Discuss., 15, 18921-18961, doi:10.5194/acpd-15-18921-2015, 2015. http://www.atmos-chem-phys-discuss.net/15/18921/2015/acpd-15-18921-2015.html
[18] Richard H. Moore, NASA Langley Research Center, Hampton, VA; and B. E. Anderson, E. Winstead, K. L. Thornhill, A. Beyersdorf, M. Shook, C. Hudgins, R. Martin, and L. Ziemba,  In-Situ Measurements of Contrail Properties Measured During the 2013-2014 ACCESS Project, 14th Conference on Cloud Physics, 9 July 2014, https://ams.confex.com/ams/14CLOUD14ATRAD/webprogram/Paper250908.html
[19] Trude Storelvmo, Yale University, New Haven, CT; and W. R. Boos and N. Herger, Cirrus cloud seeding: a climate engineering mechanism with reduced side effects? Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci. 2014 Dec 28;372(2031). pii: 20140116. doi: 10.1098/rsta.2014.0116.  http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/25404685
[20] Credence Genomics, “A Case Study on 16s rRNA Sequencing of Fuel” http://www.credencegenomics.com/case-studies/case-study-on-aviation-fuel-testing/ QUOTE “Microbial contamination of hydrocarbon fuel is a severe problem that can lead to costly and dangerous operational problems in fuel storage and engine systems. Bacteria and fungi can cause deterioration of fuels through a number of mechanisms, including an accumulation of biomass, degradation of protective additives, and production of corrosive metabolic byproducts … Biofouling of fuel may lead to serious, costly and dangerous issues related to operation failures of engines, low efficiency due to incomplete combustion and environmental pollution.”
[21] ASTM International’s Aviation Turbine Fuel Standard (ASTM D1655) February 2015 – Revised ASTM Standard Expands Limit on Biofuel Contamination in Jet Fuels  http://www.astmnewsroom.org/default.aspx?pageid=3656
[22] Wynn L. Eberhard and W. Alan Brewer, NOAA Environmental Technology Laboratory, LIDAR OBSERVATION OF JET ENGINE EXHAUST FOR AIR QUALITY https://ams.confex.com/ams/pdfpapers/83405.pdf




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2 comments:

  1. The governments of the world insist that geoengineering of our weather is not occurring Yet geoengineering is being taught at leading universities. If the people are not informed of current geoengineered clouding, of course they will speculate on the reasons. Observing giant X's and grids of long thick trails of chemicals that feather out and turn the sky completely white, sprayed by unmarked jets, of course will induce speculation. Has this experimentation by mad scientists such as David Keith, actually created the greenhouse effect? Is "global warming...er..I mean "climate change' actually caused by natural changes of the sun? ( research the encroaching maunder minimum due to arrive full force within 15 years) and also pole shift, which scientists now say can happen much faster than previously surmised? I deeply appreciate Jim Lee's work, but I don't think we should disparage activists who are resisting geoengineering in making a possible link to other nefarious activities such as possible links with HAARP and Gwen towers, nano=particles linked with transhumanism.And what about nano-particles found within the skin of people with Morgellon's disease?Another disease denied by the government that lies on a consistent basis. If the government lies about the basics, they will lie about anything. It is naive to think otherwise. Although I do see the point of not going overboard in speculation as that can turn off people from the obvious issue of deliberate aviation pollution. Also I think the point about comparing diarrhea deaths to harm from geoengineering is a mute point and is itself a straw man argument, as we truly have no studies assessing the physical risks of geoengineering, because officially geoengineering is not occurring. According to CDC, childhood asthma is rapidly increasing, autism rapidly increasing and Alzheimer's disease (linked with aluminum) is the number 1 increasing disease in our country. Whatever one chooses to call it, chemtrails or solar radiation management, some sneaky shite is going on in the skies above us, and falling on the Earth around us.

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    Replies
    1. This is the basic problem with 'chemtrails' - when serious researchers and fact checkers really explore the claims with as much attention as they deserve, instead of rejecting them outright or accepting them willy-nilly, we find that there is NO DISCOVERABLE basis for the belief that tanker or other planes are DELIBERATELY spraying the Earth with the equivalent of humanicides.
      As we point out (in the link to previous chemtrail articles we've posted at the end of this article, above), the sources claimed by chemtrail proposers are simply not there, are say things other than what is purported Please check the original sources!
      As for those criss-cross patterns - these can only be expected in regions where THOUSANDS of toxic-fuelled flights are taking place every day. Their frequency in recent years is the primary unfortunate reality.
      HAARP installations and networks like GWEN towers are bad enough without any recourse to temporarily suspended metallic particles.
      We're convinced that chemtrails are a straw man designed to distract everyone from the real problems and real perps - people and things we've all known about and done nothing about for a long time now. Big Oil and King Coal still reign supreme and still pull the wool over everyone's eyes, but lift the blindfold and see the simple reality; we're being poisoned all right - by almost every manufactured item we touch, breath, eat or otherwise come into contact with every day. This civilisation is utterly toxic, and claims that the sky is falling are worse than useless in a situation where everyone supports and ignores - even praises! - their corporation poisoners with every action.
      Turn on. Tune in. But above all OPT OUT! Stop feeding the beast by working at its 'jobs' and buying its crapola.
      The truth is simple - we are the problem OR the solution.

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